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The BS-Wrestling Pit / Re: What if China has peaked already?
« Last post by Calach Pfeffer on September 26, 2021, 12:39:40 PM »
How would we, for example, tell the difference between a great power on the rise naturally testing limits and seeking more global influence and, say, a very large middle power possessed of considerable economic strength but no longer seeing growth measured in orders of magnitude and suddenly, recently concerned that boundless economic gain no longer applies? Wouldn't they look just as belligerent? Wouldn't they be seeking, now, to grab what they can while they still can? Supply chains, territories, control over citizenry... the global impact they will no longer naturally rise toward and must instead use force to acquire.

It used to be that corruption was the older man's game. A lifetime spent eating bitter in expectation of the sweetness to come but finding as the years wore on that really the bitterness just continued and growth wasn't that great, so.....  But then corruption became the younger man's game, when growth was exponential and change was too fast and a lifetime of eating bitter counldn't be trusted, not in the face of such obvious sudden wealth.... But then rule of laws appeared and anti-corruption campaigns, and a concerted effort by the powers to stabilise the country... So what of now? What is corruption like now? Does it persist? Has it changed? What's the story of China now?

Impending demographic crisis, explosive growth in exports finishing, an economic transition into the higher end secondary industry kinda slow and super-questionable..... Isn't high tech production a small country's way into global influence? How can a country as large as China transition to high tech industry in any meaningful way without the vastly larger, qualitatively better education sector it won't have?


High tech economic growth has not been anything other than incremental for a long time even in the developed world. What super growth is going to come to China anymore?
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The BS-Wrestling Pit / What if China has peaked already?
« Last post by Calach Pfeffer on September 26, 2021, 09:02:00 AM »
Hmm?

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Thing about When in Rome that I can't quite let go of is it's a minor idiom, barely more than a quote. In context it was about changing the time of doing a thing you normally do because in a different place, they did that same thing at a different time.

But ru xiang sui su, that is something far more substantial. It's a major cultural injunction that isn't that hard for Chinese exactly because it is a major cultural injunction. They live and breathe that kind of complex identity.

The thing about how When in Rome is used in China is it more or less means learn how to be a person. That straight line between what you think, what you say, and what you do, that's very adorable, it's so cute and lovely, but after a while, it's enough. If you keep on being direct and admitting no complexity in your relationships, well, basically you're insulting us. Learn how to be a person, why don't you?


That's a whole lot heavier as a condition
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The Champagne Cabana / Re: What's in the News
« Last post by Calach Pfeffer on September 17, 2021, 11:52:02 PM »
The thing about AU turning toward US, that's a bit embarrassing, right? Because like, US exiting Iraq and Afghanistan, that's a sign of US weakness, right? US is failing, right?

Resources freed up, attention less divided, Asia coming into focus....


What I thought, way back in 2001, one Tuesday night in September, sitting in a poky Chinese apartment watching CNN, was we were all fucked. Because the Americans were going to come out into the world and everything was going to get messy.



I have no conclusion
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The Champagne Cabana / Re: What's in the News
« Last post by Calach Pfeffer on September 17, 2021, 06:32:47 PM »
Beijing rhetoric be like, stop hitting yourselves with our fists of fury that will surely fall in a blinding light of justice and rightitude..


Sorry France. EU never saved nobody.
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The Champagne Cabana / Re: What's in the News
« Last post by Calach Pfeffer on September 17, 2021, 06:19:33 PM »
Australia's decades-long balancing act between the US and China is over. It chose Washington

For more than 20 years, Australia tried to maintain good relations with both the United States and China.

It was good for trade and peaceful regional relations. But on Thursday, with the announcement of a new security deal with the United States and the United Kingdom, which will see Australia eventually field nuclear-powered submarines, Canberra made its position clear -- it has chosen Washington over Beijing.

By choosing sides, some experts say Australia has unnecessarily antagonized China, the country's largest trading partner, while at the same time making itself overly reliant on the US for protection should tensions escalate in the Indo-Pacific.

In recent years, Prime Minister Scott Morrison has moved to embrace the US more closely as a security partner, building a personal relationship with former President Donald Trump and attempting to do with same with his successor.

At the same time, relations between Canberra and Beijing have been slowly unraveling, a spiral which only worsened after the start of the Covid-19 pandemic amid questions over the virus's origins.

On Thursday, China reacted angrily to the new security deal with Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijan saying the blame for deteriorating relations "rests entirely with the Australian side."

Yun Jiang, editor of the China Neican newsletter and researcher at the Australian National University, said the deal was the "final nail in the coffin" of Australia's relationship with China, effectively eliminating any chance for rapprochement, at least in the short term.

"Until there is a new equilibrium in the international balance of power, I think the relationship is going to be tense," she said...
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The Champagne Cabana / Re: What's Making Me Happy!
« Last post by AMonk on September 16, 2021, 11:46:08 PM »
 agagagagag

Safe Travels  :surfing:
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The Bar (ON-TOPIC) / Re: I want a Chinese YouTube
« Last post by Calach Pfeffer on September 16, 2021, 09:45:20 PM »
As far as I know, Chinese video sharing sites are going more Hulu-like than Youtuber. Seems like

哔哩哔哩(゜-゜)つロ干杯~-bilibili

Bilibili is the main one now for user-generated stuffs.


As for accessing it in English, I had thought Worldlingo worked better than Google Translate.

http://www.worldlingo.com/en/products/instant_website_translator.html

But nah. They're equally glitchy.


I guess you need a local agent.


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The Champagne Cabana / Re: What's Making Me Happy!
« Last post by Escaped Lunatic on September 16, 2021, 08:15:46 PM »
Just to give me a heart attack, I was told I needed special approval to visit the schools in FengHuang. llllllllll

But, it only took them about 18 hours to go from "Tell us this info for the application" to "OK, we've got you approved.  Have a nice day."  I love FengHuang.  agagagagag

When I get there, I need to ask them more about this new approval thing so I can try to figure out how to get this taken care of in other provinces.

So I'm all set to go.  My train is on the 22nd.

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The Bar (ON-TOPIC) / Re: I want a Chinese YouTube
« Last post by Escaped Lunatic on September 16, 2021, 08:01:50 PM »
YouKu is one. I think there are several others.
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