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Author Topic: What's in the News  (Read 385444 times)

Escaped Lunatic

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Re: What's in the News
« Reply #2745 on: May 25, 2018, 07:29:45 AM »
I think the government was hoping the 2 child limit would result in a larger increase in the birth rate than actually happened.  As living standards increase, the number of 0 and 1 child families tends to rise in nearly every country.  Poverty eradication efforts reduce the "I need lots of kids to keep me fed in my old age" mindset.

I think it now comes down to "how to we get more children, but not an excessively large supply of children?"  Maybe some special exceptions like the old 1 child policy could be applied to the 2 child policy.  Maybe a 3 child policy would be needed.  Or, maybe unlimited is what we'll see in a few years.  I'd love to see how they set up their computer models to analyze the probable outcomes of different policy changes.
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Calach Pfeffer

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Re: What's in the News
« Reply #2746 on: May 26, 2018, 04:18:21 AM »
I don't get any sense of what a large Chinese family would look like. It'd be damn interesting to find out, I guess. But I don't know anyone who is geared to that kind of functioning. For giggles I sometimes ask classes about having kids and I get no sense at all that anyone knows what a family is beyond the usual pressure funnel: 4 grandparents press on 2 parents who press on 1 child. Asking about 2 or more children is like saying that model is wrong, which makes people look at me sideways.

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Granny Mae

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Re: What's in the News
« Reply #2747 on: May 26, 2018, 11:16:22 PM »
I hadn't really thought about it, but perhaps it explains my observations of Chinese folks at "the den". I find many of them to be all about themselves and what they can get. I guess that they don't really have to consider anyone else if they grow up in a small family. bjbjbjbjbj
« Last Edit: May 27, 2018, 10:20:31 PM by Granny Mae »

Escaped Lunatic

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Re: What's in the News
« Reply #2748 on: May 29, 2018, 03:44:48 AM »
What's amazing to me is the number of Chinese families who "missed the memo".  I know a lot of people born after the original policy who have one or more younger siblings.  Also, penalties varied widely.  I've met a few parents who said "It's ok, we'll just pay the fine."  Don't forget that the the old policy had quite a few exceptions.  Of those with families I've met, I don't think I know very many only children with no aunts or uncles.

As standards of living improve, average family sizes go down.  Individual exceptions happen, but the averages hold up well around the world.  If things continue on this path, world populations should peak somewhere in the 10-11 billion range, and then will start to slowly decline.  Who knows, some countries may eventually put in a minimum 2 children per couple policy.



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Granny Mae

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Re: What's in the News
« Reply #2749 on: May 29, 2018, 09:57:55 PM »
I like to sit and observe people in my local shopping centre and other places. I am constantly saying that if I were in charge, I wouldn't allow 90% of people to breed. bibibibibi